Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 16.364213 18.541041 20.846662 23.465116 26.350713 29.427980 32.952088
2025-01-05 13.042082 15.999660 19.335002 23.353688 28.041908 33.315390 39.671730
2025-01-12 10.153349 13.437773 17.366981 22.365768 28.503545 35.739001 44.853645
2025-01-19 7.972767 11.355184 15.636079 21.365777 28.737762 37.801189 49.671158
2025-01-26 7.027355 10.670844 15.511586 22.274512 31.320050 42.828989 58.380317
2025-02-02 6.613109 10.619321 16.169788 24.211700 35.322274 49.863859 70.019634
2025-02-09 5.999087 10.183770 16.225434 25.293060 38.214614 55.583433 80.237049
2025-02-16 5.232075 9.402800 15.681559 25.443017 39.784542 59.569697 88.304827
2025-02-23 4.447922 8.475095 14.800646 24.987336 40.410996 62.235022 94.641180
2025-03-02 3.829607 7.722425 14.090754 24.692956 41.202373 65.114598 101.347054
2025-03-09 3.383257 7.194796 13.669973 24.782999 42.532336 68.783508 109.280891
2025-03-16 2.950993 6.625684 13.111098 24.584519 43.373503 71.735600 116.258060
2025-03-23 2.769394 6.514379 13.341468 25.730649 46.444934 78.243397 128.876040
2025-03-30 2.473203 6.134379 13.056866 25.980294 48.088235 82.656010 138.556697
2025-04-06 2.072248 5.472428 12.181756 25.123396 47.848175 84.126771 143.821965
2025-04-13 1.719460 4.847346 11.296395 24.155051 47.332448 85.104711 148.329986
2025-04-20 1.628921 4.799112 11.529755 25.246246 50.395593 91.932761 162.229777
2025-04-27 1.651858 5.022577 12.329320 27.450501 55.508212 102.281376 182.045708
2025-05-04 1.578700 4.999522 12.615084 28.686348 58.959965 110.020009 197.930695
2025-05-11 1.422690 4.740544 12.374550 28.875325 60.533369 114.687916 209.004738
2025-05-18 1.233053 4.356173 11.816752 28.382848 60.822382 117.187806 216.605464
2025-05-25 1.079534 4.038289 11.366993 28.064011 61.397958 120.173857 225.076030
2025-06-01 0.971248 3.827087 11.134965 28.169333 62.760979 124.543545 235.953944